Economy and Markets
Manufacturing Is Contracting: Another Economic Indicator Flashes Red
Yet another important economic indicator rolled over this week which has triggered a sell-off in the U.S. equity markets. Each month the Institute of Supply Management (“ISM”) issues two reports: Manufacturing ISM Report Non-Manufacturing ISM Report...
What Is An Inverted Yield Curve?
Today, August 14, 2019, the main part of the yield curve inverted. This is an important event because an inverted yield curve has historically been a very good predictor of a coming recession. In this article we will review What the yield curve isWhat it means when...
The Top 4 Things That You Need To Know About The Trade War With China
The trade negotiations between the U.S. and China have been the center of the stock market’s attention for the past 6 months. One day it seems like they are close to a deal and then the next day both countries are launching new tariffs against each other. While many...
Will There Be A Santa Claus Rally This Year?
Going back 120 years, December has traditionally been a very good month for the stock market. Within the last 120 years the S&P 500 has been positive in December 73% of the time. The Russell 2000, which is the index for small cap stocks, has been up 87%...
The Stock Market Dropped 800 Points Today. Is This A Warning Sign?
There was a large sell off in the stock market today. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all dropped by over 3% in today’s trading session. After a long bull rally, big drops in the stock market often lead investors to the question: “Is this big drop in the...
How Could The Midterm Elections Impact The Stock Market?
The most common question that I have been asked over the past few weeks is: “If the Republicans lose control of either the House or the Senate in November, what impact do you think that will have on the markets?” How much the stock market may go up or down in the...
Patience Should Reward Investors In 2018
Bottom line, the first half of 2018 was a tough pill to swallow for investors. Volatility was high, returns were low, and the news was dominated with fears of trade wars. This environment has left investors questioning if we are on the eve of the next...
We Are Sleep Walking Into The Next Crisis
The U.S. economy is headed down a dangerous path. In our opinion it has nothing to do with the length of the current economic cycle, valuations, interest rates, or trade wars. Instead, it has everything to do with our mounting government deficits. We have...
Does “Sell In May And Go Away” Really Work?
There is a well-known trading strategy that goes by the name of “Sell In May And Go Away”. The strategy involves liquidating all of your stock holdings in May and then re-establishing your stock positions in November. The basic premise of this strategy is...
Don’t Let Taxes Dictate Your Investment Decisions
Everyone hates to pay more in taxes. So much so that it can often lead investors to make foolish investment decisions. The stock market bottomed in March 2009 and since then we have experienced the second longest bull market rally of all time. This type of market...
