The #1 Question To Ask Yourself Before Selling A Stock
When is the right time to sell an investment? It's a tough decision that individuals have a difficult time making but it's one of the most important decisions that you will have to make as an investor. Often time the decision to "buy" an investment is much easier. You gather information on a given investment, look at the trends in the market acting on
When is the right time to sell an investment? It's a tough decision that individuals have a difficult time making but it's one of the most important decisions that you will have to make as an investor. Often time the decision to "buy" an investment is much easier. You gather information on a given investment, look at the trends in the market acting on that investment, assess the risk versus reward trade off, and you put your strategy to work. Deciding to sell has a lot more emotions involved which frequently causes investors to make the wrong decision.
When do I sell a big winner?
First scenario is "the rocket ship". You purchased a stock and the stock price has gone through the roof. It's made you a ton of money on paper, you proudly boast to your friends and co-workers about the price that you bought it at, and in certain instances it has been a life changing financial event. The mistake investors make here is they get into what we call "the teddy bear syndrome".
Teddy bear syndrome.....
Have you ever tried to take a teddy bear away from a five year old......good luck. As adults, we often fall into the same behavioral pattern with very successful investments. Individuals typically have a strong emotional attachment to their most successful investments. But you will frequently hear many legendary investment managers make comments like: "Investment decisions are not emotional decisions. You have to remove your emotions from the decision-making process." Let's say you bought $10,000 of XYZ stock at $10 per share and five years later it's now selling at $890 per share turning your $10,000 into $890,000. Do you sell some of it, maybe all of it?
Here is the key question........
"If you had that $890,000 in cash in your hand today, would you invest all of it back into XYZ stock at $890 per share?"
Most people would say "No!! That's crazy. I would diversify that $890,000 across a number of holdings and the stock has already gone up so much". Continuing to hold a stock is the same decision as buying a stock. But doing nothing is easier because we feel like we are not making a decision, we are just "continuing to hold". Remember, it's easy to sell a stock that has lost money. It's much more difficult to sell a stock that produced a gain. Of course, this brings up the question of how do you find the right stocks to invest in?
"If I sell the stock, I'll have to pay tax on the gain."
Question: Would you rather pay taxes on a gain or lose money? Usually if you are paying taxes it means that you are making money. If I sold the stock holding in the example above, I would have an $880,000 long term capital gain at a minimum would pay around $132,000 in long term capital gains tax at 15%. This would leave me with $758,000 cash in hand from a $748,000 gain plus $10,000 original investment. What if instead of selling I continue to hold the stock and to no fault of company XYZ the economy goes into a recession? The stock goes from $890 a share to $500 a share. Now my total investment is worth $500,000 instead of $890,000. It's still a good investment because I bought it at $10,000 and it's still worth $500,000 but if I sold it at $500 per share I would still pay tax on the gain, now a smaller amount of gain, and be left with around $425,000. That poor decision cost me $333,000 after tax.
The fallen star
Most investors have been here at one point or another. You purchased a stock that rose in value dramatically but for whatever reason the stock lost all of its early investment gains and your investment is now underwater. Many investors will say “It’s a good long term holding so I’m just going to wait for it to come back.” While we are all familiar with the buy and hold strategy, there is a risk and opportunity cost with this strategy. The risk being that it may never come back to its original value. The opportunity cost is the money invested in that underperforming company could be growing somewhere else instead of just “waiting for it to come back”.
You must ask yourself the same key question that was listed above: “If I had that money in my hand today, would I invest all of it in that stock?” If the answer is “no”, you should probably sell some or all of it. Do not hold a stock solely based on a target share price. I will hear people say, “Well I bought it at $55 per share so I’m going to wait until it at least gets back to that price.” That is not an investment strategy. You must look at the fundamentals of the company, their competitors, global market conditions, company management, the company’s strategy, and their financials to really come up with a price target for the stock.
The inherited gem
It's a common occurrence that individuals will inherit stock from a family member and they know that family member had a strong emotional attachment to the stock because they either work for the company or they never sold a single share during their lifetime. It's easy to feel that selling the stock is in some way selling the memory of that family member. I will often hear comments like: "My dad worked for the company and held that stock for 40 years. He would be rolling in his grave right now if he knew I was thinking about selling his stock." This frequently happens because the generation before us had pension plans to support them in retirement and did not have to sell stock to supplement their income or they came from a generation that was very frugal about spending money. Your needs and circumstances are probably very different from the person that you inherited the stock from so you need to look at that investment holding from your financial standpoint.
I work for the company........
If you work for a publicly traded company then there is a good chance that you own shares of that company in an employee stock purchase plan, retirement plan, options plan, or brokerage account. Since you work for the company it usually means that you have "drank the kool-aide" and believe in the company's mission, vision, and you feel like you have more control over the fate of your investment. Remember, even though you work for that company it's still one company and attaching too much for your net worth to one investment is very risky. It's even more risky for employees because if something negatively impacts the company not only is your employment at risk but so is your total net worth if a large portion of your investment portfolio is tied to the company that you work for. Make sure you periodically calculate a total of all your investment holdings and compare that to the amount invested in your company's stocks to make sure you stay balanced in your overall investment approach.
Ask yourself the easy question.......
While making the decision to buy, sell, or hold an investment is not always an easy one. Finding the right answer may be as easy as asking yourself: "If the amount invested in that stock was in cash and in my hand today, would I invest 100% of it back into that stock holding?"
About Michael.........
Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.
Financial Planning To Do's For A Family
My wife and I just added our first child to the family so this is a topic that has been weighing on my mind over the last 40 weeks. I will share just one non-financial takeaway from the entire experience. The global population may be much lower if men had to go through what women do. That being said, this article is meant to be a guideline for some of the important financial items to consider with children. Worrying about your children will never end and being comfortable with the financial aspects of parenthood may allow you to worry a little less and be able to enjoy the time you have with the
My wife and I just added our first child to the family so this is a topic that has been weighing on my mind over the last 40 weeks. I will share just one non-financial takeaway from the entire experience. The global population may be much lower if men had to go through what women do. That being said, this article is meant to be a guideline for some of the important financial items to consider with children. Worrying about your children will never end and being comfortable with the financial aspects of parenthood may allow you to worry a little less and be able to enjoy the time you have with them.
There is a lot of information to take into consideration when putting together a financial plan and the larger your family the more pieces to the puzzle. It is important to set goals and celebrate them when they are met. Everything cannot be done in a day, a week, or a month, so creating a task list to knock off one by one is usually an effective approach. Using relatives, friends, and professionals as resources is important to know what should be on that list for topics you aren’t familiar with.
Create a Budget
It may seem tedious but this is one of the most important pieces of a family’s financial plan. You don’t have to track every dollar coming in and out but having a detailed breakdown on where your money is being spent is necessary in putting together a plan. This simple Expense Planner can serve as a guideline in starting your budget. If you don’t have an accurate idea of where your money is being spent then you can’t know where you can cut back or afford to spend more if needed. Also, the budget is a great topic during a romantic dinner.
You will always want to have 4-6 months expenses saved up and accessible in case a job is lost or someone becomes disabled and cannot work. Having an accurate budget will help you determine how much money you should have liquid.
Insurance
You want to be sure you are sufficiently covered if anything ever happened. One terrible event could leave your family in a situation that may have been avoidable. Insurance is also something you want to take care of as soon as possible so you know the coverage is there if needed.
Health Insurance
Research the policies that are available to you and determine which option may be the most appropriate in your situation. It is important to know the medical needs of your family when making this decision.
Turning one spouse’s single coverage into family coverage is one of the more common ways people obtain coverage for a family. Insurance companies will usually only allow changes to policies through open enrollment or when a “qualifying event” occurs. Having a child is usually a qualifying event but this may only allow the child to be added to one’s coverage, not the spouse. If that is the case, the spouse will want to make sure they have their own coverage until they can be added to the family plan.
It is important to use the resources available to you and consult with your health insurance provider on the ins and outs. If neither spouse has coverage through work, the exchange can be a resource for information and an option to obtain coverage (https://www.healthcare.gov/).
Life Insurance
The majority of people will obtain Term Life Insurance as it is a cost effective way to cover the needs of your family. Life insurance policies have an extensive underwriting process so the sooner you start the sooner you will be covered if anything ever happened. How Much Life Insurance Do I Need?, is an article that may help answer the question regarding the amount of life insurance sufficient for you.
Disability Insurance
The probability of using disability insurance is likely more than that of life insurance. Like life insurance, there is usually a long underwriting process to obtain coverage. Disability insurance is important as it will provide income for your family if you were unable to work. Below are some terms that may be helpful when inquiring about these policies.
Own Occupation – means that insurance will turn on if you are unable to perform YOUR occupation. “Any Occupation” is usually cheaper but means that insurance will only turn on if you can prove you can’t do ANY job.
60% Monthly Income – this represents the amount of the benefit. In this example, you will receive 60% of your current income. It is likely not taxable so the net pay to you may be similar to your paycheck. You can obtain more or less but 60% monthly income is a common benefit amount.
90 Day Elimination Period – this means the benefit won’t start until 90 days of being disabled. This period can usually be longer or shorter.
Cost of Living or Inflation Rider – means the benefit amount will increase after a certain time period or as your salary increases.
Wills, POA’s, Health Proxies
These are important documents to have in place to avoid putting the weight of making difficult decisions on your loved ones. There are generic templates that will suffice for most people but it is starting the process that is usually the most difficult. “What Is The Process Of Setting Up A Will?, is an article that may help you start.
College Savings
The cost of higher education is increasing at a rapid rate and has become a financial burden on a lot of parents looking to pick up the tab for their kids. 529 accounts are a great way to start saving early. There are state tax benefits to parents in some states (including NYS) and if the money is spent on tuition, books, or room and board, the gain from the investments is tax free. Roth IRA’s are another investment vehicle that can be used for college but for someone to contribute to a Roth IRA they must have earned income. Therefore, a newborn wouldn’t be able to open a Roth IRA. Since the gain in 529’s is tax free if used for college, the earlier the dollars go into the account the longer they have to potentially earn income from the market.
529’s can also be opened by anyone, not just the parents. So if the child has a grandparent that likes buying savings bonds or a relative that keeps purchasing clothes the child will wear once, maybe have them contribute to a 529. The contribution would then be eligible for the tax deduction to the contributor if available in the state.
Below is a chart of the increasing college costs along with links to information on college planning.
About Rob……...
Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.
