How To Pay 0% Tax On Capital Gains Income

When you sell a stock, mutual fund, investment property, or a business, if you have made money on that investment, the IRS is kindly waiting for a piece of that gain in the form of capital gains tax. Capital gains are taxed differently than the ordinary income that you received via your paycheck or pass-through income from your business. Unlike ordinary

When you sell a stock, mutual fund, investment property, or a business, if you have made money on that investment, the IRS is kindly waiting for a piece of that gain in the form of capital gains tax.  Capital gains are taxed differently than the ordinary income that you received via your paycheck or pass-through income from your business.   Unlike ordinary income, which has a series of tax brackets that range from 10% to 37% in 2022, capital gains income is taxed at a flat rate at the federal level.   Most taxpayers are aware of the 15% long term capital gains tax rate but very few know about the 0% capital gains tax rate and how to properly time the sale of your invest to escape having to pay tax on the gain. 

Short-term vs Long-Term Gains

Before I get into this tax strategy, you first have to understand the difference between “short-term” and “long-term” capital gains.  Short-term capital gains apply to any investment that you bought and sold in less than a 12 month period.  Example, if I buy a stock today for $1,000 and I sell it three months later for $3,000, I would have a $2,000 short-term capital gain.  Short-term capital gains are taxed as ordinary income like your paycheck. There is no special tax treatment for short-term capital gains and the 0% tax strategy does not apply.

Long-term capital gains on the other hand are for investments that you bought and then sold more than 12 months later.  When I say “investments” I’m using that in broad terms. It could be a business, investment property, stock, etc.   When you sell these investments at a gain and you have satisfied the 1 year holding period, you receive the benefit of paying tax on the gain at the preferential “long-term capital gains rate”.

What Are The Long Term Capital Gains Rates?

For federal tax purposes, there are 3 long term capital gains rates:  0%, 15%, and 20%.  What rate you pay is determined by your filing status and your level of taxable income in the year that you sold the investment subject to the long term capital gains tax. For 2022, below are the capital gains brackets for single filers and joint filers.

As you will see on the chart, if you are a single filer and your taxable income is below $41,675 or a joint filer with taxable income below $83,350, all or a portion of your long term capital gains income may qualify for the federal 0% capital gains rate.

An important note about state taxes on capital gains income is that each state has a different way of handling capital gains income. New York state is a “no mercy state” meaning they do not offer a special tax rate for long term capital gains. For NYS income tax purposes, your long term capital gains are taxed as ordinary income.  But let’s continue our story with the fed tax rules which are typically the lion share of the tax liability.

In a straight forward example, assume you live in New York, you are married, and your total taxable income for the year is $50,000.  If you realize $25,000 in long term capital gains, you will not pay any federal tax on the $25,000 in capital gain income but you will have to pay NYS income tax on the $25,000.

Don’t Stop Reading This Article If Your Taxable Income Is Above The Thresholds

For many taxpayers, their income is well above these income thresholds.  But I have good news, with some maneuvering, there are legit strategies that may allow you to take advantage of the 0% long term capital gains tax rate even if your taxable income is above the $41,675 single filer and $83,350 joint filer thresholds.  I will include multiple examples below as to how our high net worth clients are able to access the 0% long term capital gains rate but I first have to build the foundation as to how it all works. 

Using 401(k) Contributions To Lower Your Taxable Income

In years that you will have long term capital gains, there are strategies that you can use to reduce your taxable income to get under the 0% thresholds.  Here is an example, I had a client sell a rental property this year and the sale triggered a long term capital gain for $40,000.  They were married and had a combined income of $110,000.  If they did nothing, at the federal level they would just have to pay the 15% long term capital gains tax which results in a $6,000 tax liability.  Instead, we implemented the following strategy to move the $40,000 of capital gains into the 0% tax rate.

Once they received the sale proceeds from the house, we had them deposit that money to their checking account, and then go to their employer and instruct them to max out their 401(k) pre-tax contributions for the remainder of the year.  Since they were both over 50, they were each able to defer $27,000 (total of $54,000). They used the proceeds from the house sale to supplement the income that they were losing in their paychecks due to the higher pre-tax 401(k) deferrals.  Not only did they reduce their taxable income for the year by $54,000, saving a bunch in taxes, but they also were able to move the full $40,000 in long term capital gain income into the 0% tax bracket.  Here’s how the numbers work:

Adjusted Gross Income (AGI):      $110,000

Pre-tax 401(k) Contributions:         ($54,000)

Less Standard Deduction:              ($25,900)

Total Taxable Income:                     $30,100

In their case, they would be able to realize $53,250 in long term capital gains before they would have to start paying the 15% fed tax on that income ($83,350 – $30,100 = $53,250). Since they were below that threshold, they paid no federal income tax on the $40,000 saving them $6,000 in fed taxes.

“Filling The Bracket”

The strategy that I just described is called “filling the bracket”.  We find ways to reduce an individuals taxable income in the year that long term capital gains are realized to “fill up” as much of that 0% long-term capital gains tax rate that we can before it spills over into the 15% long-term capital gains rate.

More good news, it’s not an “all or none” calculation.  If you are married, have $60,000 in taxable income, and $100,000 in long term capital gains, a portion of your $100,000 in capital gains will be taxed at the 0% rate with the majority taxed at the 15% tax rate.  As you might have guessed the IRS is not going to let you get away with paying 0% on a $100,000 in long term capital gains because you maneuvered your taxable income into the 0% cap gain range. But in this case, $23,350 would be taxed at the 0% long term cap gain rate, and the reminder would be taxed at the 15% long term cap gain rate.

Do Capital Gains Bump Your Ordinary Income Into A Higher Bracket?

When explaining this “filling up the bracket” strategy to clients, the most common question I get is: “If long term capital gains count as taxable income, does that push my ordinary income into a higher tax bracket?”   The answer is “no”.  In the eyes of the IRS, capital gains income is determined to be earned “after” all of your other income sources.

In an extreme example, let’s say you have $70,000 in ordinary income and $200,000 in capital gains. If your total ordinary income was $70,000 and you file a joint tax return, your top fed tax bracket in 2022 would be 12%.  However, if the IRS decided to look at the $200,000 in capital gain income first and then put your ordinary income on top of that, your top federal tax bracket would now be 24%.  That would hurt tax wise. Luckily, it does not work that way.  Even if you realized $1M in long term capital gains, the $70,000 in ordinary income would be taxed at the same lower tax brackets since it was earned first in the eyes of the IRS.

Work With Your Accountant

Before I get into the more advanced strategies for how this filling up the brackets strategy is used, I cannot stress enough the importance of working with your tax advisor when executing these more complex tax strategies.  The tax system is complex and making a shift in one area could hurt you in another area.

Even though these strategies may lower the federal tax rate on your long-term capital gain income, capital gains will increase your AGI (adjusted gross income) for the year which could phase you out of certain deductions, tax credits, increase your Medicare premiums, reduce college financial aid, etc. Your accountant should be able to run tax projections for you in their software to play with the numbers to determine the ideal amount of long-term capital gains that can be realized in a given year without hurting the other aspects of your financial picture.

Strategy #1:  I’m Retiring

When people retire, in many cases, their taxable income drops because they no longer have their paycheck and they are typically supplementing their income with social security and distributions from their investment accounts.  This creates a tax planning opportunity because these taxpayers sometimes find themselves in the lowest tax bracket that they have been in over the past 30+ years.  Here are some of the common examples.

Example 1: The First Year Of Retirement

If you retire at the beginning of the calendar year, you may only have had a few months of paychecks, so your income may be lower in that year.  If you have built up cash in your savings account or if you have an after tax investment account that you can use to supplement your income for the remainder of the year to meet your expenses, this may create the opportunity to “fill up the bracket” and realize some long-term capital gains at a 0% federal tax rate in that year.

Example 2:  Lower Expenses In Retirement

We have had clients that were making $150,000 per year and then when they retire they only need $40,000 per year to live off of.  When you retire, the kids are typically through college, the mortgage is paid off, and your expenses drop so you need less income to supplement those expenses.   A portion of your social security will most likely be counted as taxable income but if you do not have a pension, you may have some wiggle room to realize a portion of your long-term capital gains as a 0% rate each year.

Assume this is a single filer. Here is how the numbers would work:

Social Security & IRA Taxable Income:     $40,000

Less Standard Deduction:                          ($12,000)

Total Taxable Income:                                $28,000

This individual would be able to realize $13,675 in long term capital gains each year at the 0% fed tax tax because the threshold is $41,675 and they are only showing $28,000 in taxable income.  Saving $2,051 in fed taxes.

Strategy #2:  Business Owner Experiences A Low Income Year

If you have been running a business for 5+ years, you have probably been through those one or two tough years where either revenue drops dramatically or the business incurs a lot of expenses in a single year, lowering your net profits.  Do not let these low taxable income years go to waste.  If you typically make $250,000+ per year and you have one of these low income years, start planning as soon as possible because once you cross that December 31st threshold, you have wasted a tax planning opportunity.  If you are showing no income for that year, you may want to talk to your accountant about realizing some long term capital gains in your brokerage account to realize those gains at a 0% tax rate.  Or you may want to consider processing a Roth conversion in that low tax year. There are a number of tax strategies that will allow you to make the most of that “bad year” income wise. 

Strategy #3: Leverage Cash Reserves and Brokerage Accounts

If you have been building up cash reserves or you have a brokerage account that you could sell some holdings without incurring big taxable gains, you may be able to use that as your income source for the year which could result in little to no taxable income showing for that tax year.  We have seen both retirees and business owners use this strategy.

Business owners have control over when expenses will be realized which influences how much taxable income is being passed through to the business owner.  If you can overload expenses into a single tax year instead of splitting it evenly between two separate tax years, that could create some tax planning opportunities.

Strategy #4: Moving To Another State

It’s common for individuals to move to more tax friendly states in retirement. If you live in a state now, like New York, that makes you pay tax on long term capital gain income, and you plan to move to Florida next year and change your state of domicile, you may want to wait to realize your capital gains until you are resident of Florida to avoid having to pay state tax on that income. This has nothing to do with the 0% Fed tax strategy but it might reduce your state income tax bill on those capital gains.

Bottom Line

There are few strategies that allow you to pay 0% in federal taxes on any type of gain.  If you are a high income earner, this strategy may not work for you every year but there may be opportunities to use them at some point if income drops or when you enter the retirement years.  Again, don’t let those lower income years go to waste. Work with your accountant and determine if “filling the bracket” is the right move for you. 

Michael Ruger

About Michael……...

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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How Could The Midterm Elections Impact The Stock Market?

The most common question that I have been asked over the past few weeks is: “If the Republicans lose control of either the House or the Senate in November, what impact do you think that will have on the markets?” How much the stock market may go up or down in the days leading up to or directly after the midterm elections, regardless of the result, is

The most common question that I have been asked over the past few weeks is: “If the Republicans lose control of either the House or the Senate in November, what impact do you think that will have on the markets?”   How much the stock market may go up or down in the days leading up to or directly after the midterm elections, regardless of the result, is anyone’s guess.  But if we use history as a guide, investors will probably realize that this situation is not uncommon, and there is probably less to worry about than investors think. 

A Shift In Power Is Not Uncommon

If we look back at every midterm election going back to 1934, on average, the president’s party has lost 30 seats in the House and 4 seats in the Senate during a midterm election year.  There are only three years in history that the president’s party actually gained seats due to a midterm election:  1934, 1998, and 2002.  So if the Republican’s lose seats in Congress in November that would really be the norm instead of the exception to the rule.  If it is in fact the norm, investors have to ask themselves, “how much of that shift in power is already priced into the market?” 

How Does The Stock Market React During Midterm Election Years?

In attempting to answer this question there are two components: volatility and return.  As many would guess, during midterm election years volatility typically rises leading up to the elections. Looking at the S&P 500 Index going all the way back to 1970, the volatility levels in the stock market are typically 10%+ more volatile when compared to the levels of volatility in the S&P 500 when there are no midterm elections.

From a return standpoint, the results speak for themselves.    Below is a bar chart that shows the return of the S&P 500 Index 12 months following the midterm elections 1950 – 2015:

stock market returns

stock market returns

12 months after a midterm elections the S&P 500 Index averages a 15.1% annual return.  In all other years the stock market averages a 6.8% annual return.

But What About A Flip In Control

It’s one things to lose seats in Congress but do we have to worry more because it’s not just about losing seats this year, it’s about a shift in power within Congress?  Again, using history as a guide, let’s look at what has happened in the past.  The House majority switched parties as a result of midterm elections in 1994, 2006, and 2010.  In all three of those years where a shift in power was in the cards, the stock market was either down or flat leading up the midterm elections in November.   However, in all three of those years the stock market was significantly higher 12 months after the midterm elections. See the chart below: 

past returns of S&P 500 Index

past returns of S&P 500 Index

The Stock Market Cares More About The Economy

If you asked me which environment I would choose to invest in:

A)  Stable political environment and bad economy

B)  Unstable political environment and good economy

I would probably choose “B” because at the end of the day the stock market is historically driven by the economy.    While politics have the power to influence the economy, if we end up in a gridlock situation after the November elections, that is also the norm.  Going back to 1948, we have had a “divided government” 61% of the time.  As we get closer to the elections, there is a very good chance that the level of volatility in the markets will increase because the stock market doesn’t like uncertainty.  But if we use history as our guide, the 12 months following the midterm elections may reward investors that stay the course.

Michael Ruger

About Michael……...

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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Patience Should Reward Investors In 2018

Bottom line, the first half of 2018 was a tough pill to swallow for investors. They had to fight a constant rollercoaster. Volatility was high, returns were low, and the news was dominated with fears of trade wars. This environment has left investors questioning if we are on the eve of the next recession. Well I have good news. While trade wars have driven

Bottom line, the first half of 2018 was a tough pill to swallow for investors.  They had to fight a constant rollercoaster. Volatility was high, returns were low, and the news was dominated with fears of trade wars. This environment has left investors questioning if we are on the eve of the next recession. Well I have good news. While trade wars have driven fear into the hearts of investors, during that same time period corporate earnings have been soaring and the U.S. economy has continued its growth path. For these reasons, disciplined investors may have good things waiting for them in the second half of 2018.

Coming Off A Big Year

As of the end of the second quarter, the S&P 500 Index was up 2.6% year to date. So why does 2018 seem like such a disappointment? You have to remember that 2017 was a huge year with the added benefit of very little volatility. It was a straight march up the entire year.

First, let’s compare the performance of the various asset classes in the first half of 2017 versus to first half of 2018. Below are the returns for the various assets classes in the first half of 2017:

Here are those same asset classes in the first half of 2018.

Obviously a huge difference. At this time last year, the S&P 500 Index was already up 9.3% for the year compared to 2.6% in 2018. International and emerging market equities were up over 14% in the first half of 2017. In 2018, those same international stocks were down over 2%. One might guess that bonds would preform better in a year with muted stock returns. Well, one would be wrong because the Barclay’s US Aggregate Bond Index was down 1.6% in the first 6 months of 2018.

Volatility Is Back

Not only has the first half of 2018 been a return drought but the level of volatility in the stock market has also spiked. In the first 6 months of 2017, the S&P 500 Index only had 2 trading days where the stock market moved plus or minus by more than 1% in a day. Guess how many trading days there were in the first half of 2018 where the S&P 500 Index moved up or down by more than 1% in a day.

The answer: 25 Days

That’s a 1,250% increase over 2017. No wonder everyone’s nerves are rattled. So the up 2% YTD in the stock market feels more like a down 10% because a lot has happened in a short period of time. Plus, the only big positive month for the stock market was in January which feels like forever ago.

Recency Bias

Investors are largely suffering for what we call in the investment industry as “recency bias”. In other words, what happened recently has now become the rule in the minds of investors. Investors are largely using 2017 as their measuring stick for 2018 performance and volatility. While it would seem that the dramatic increase in the level of volatility this year would classify 2018 as an abnormally volatile year, it’s actually 2017 that was the anomaly. Below is a chart that shows the annual return of the S&P 500 Index since 1980. The dots below each annual return are the market corrections that took place as some point during each calendar year.

Based on historical data, it’s “normal” for the market to experience on average a 10% correction at some point during the year. Now look at 2017, the stock market was up 19% for the year but the largest correction during the year was 3%. That’s abnormal. By comparison, even though we are only half way through 2018, we have already experienced a 10% correction and as of June 30th, the S&P 500 Index is up 2% for the year.

Earnings Are King

Behind the dark clouds of the media headlines and the increased level of volatility this year is the dramatic increase in corporate earnings. Corporate earnings have not only increased but they have leaped forward. Take a look at the chart below:

The market traditionally follows earnings. The earnings per share for the S&P 500 Index in 2017 was 17% which is a strong number historically. In the first quarterly of 2018, the year-over-year earnings per share growth was up 27%. That is a surge in corporate earnings. But you would have no idea looking at the meager 2% YTD return from the stock market this year. Pair that with the fact that the P/E of the S&P 500 is around 16 which is in line with its 20 year historic average. See the chart below:

Even though it has been a long expansion, the market is not “over priced” by historic terms. If the stock market is fairly valued and corporate earnings are accelerating, one could make the case that the stock market has some catching up to do in the second half of the year.

The Chances Of A Recession Are Low

With the yield curve still positively sloped and the Composite Index of Leading Indicator, not only positive, but accelerating, a recession within the next 6 to 12 months seems unlikely. It’s like wandering through a jungle. When you are on the ground, the jungle is intimidating, there are plenty of things to be afraid of, and it’s tough to know which direction you should be walking. As investment advisors it’s our job to climb the tallest tree to get above the jungle to determine which way we should be walking.

In summary, 2018 has been an emotional roller coaster for investors. But making sound investment decision is about putting your emotions and gut feelings aside and looking at the hard economic data when making investment decisions. That data is telling us that we may very well be witnessing the soon to be longest economic expansion since 1900. The U.S. economy is strong, tax reform is boosting corporate earnings, interest rates are rising but are still at benign levels, and consumer sentiment is booming. In the later stages of an economic cycle, higher levels of volatility will be here to stay which will test the patience of investors. But overall the second half of the year could prove to be beneficial for investors that choose to climb the trees.

Michael Ruger

About Michael.........

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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Don't Let Taxes Dictate Your Investment Decisions

Everyone hates to pay more in taxes. But this is something that has to be done. Sometimes taxes can often lead investors to make foolish investment decisions. The stock market bottomed in March 2009 and since then we have experienced the second-longest bull market rally of all time. This type of market environment typically creates a

Everyone hates to pay more in taxes. But this is something that has to be done. Sometimes taxes can often lead investors to make foolish investment decisions. The stock market bottomed in March 2009 and since then we have experienced the second-longest bull market rally of all time. This type of market environment typically creates a stockpile of unrealized gains in the equity portion of your portfolio. When you go to sell one of your investment holdings that has appreciated in value over the past few years there may be a big tax bill waiting for you. But when is it the right time to ignore the tax hit and execute the trade?

Do The Math

What sounds worse? Writing a check to the government for $10,000 in taxes or experiencing a 3% loss in your investment accounts? Most people would answer paying taxes. After all, who wants to write a check to the government for $10,000 after you have already paid your fair share of taxes throughout the year. It’s this exact situation that gets investors in a lot of trouble when the stock market turns or when that concentrated stock position takes a nosedive.

Before making this decision make sure you do the math. If you have $500,000 in your taxable investment account and the account value drops by 3%, your account just lost $15,000. It would have been better to sell the holding, pay the $10,000 in taxes, and you would still be ahead by $5,000. Before making the decision not to sell for tax reasons, make sure you run this calculation.

Gains Are Good

While most of us run from paying taxes like the plague, remember gains are good. It means that you made money on the investment.  At some point you are going to have to pay tax on that gain unless your purposefully waiting for the investment to lose value or if you plan to die with that holding in your estate.

If you put $100,000 in an aggressive investment a year ago and it’s now worth $200,000, if you sell it all today, you will have to pay long term cap gains tax and possibly state tax on the $100,000 realized gain. But remember, what goes up by 100% can also go down by 100%. To avoid the tax bill, you make the decision to just sit on the investment and 3 months from now the economy goes into a recession. The value of that investment drops to $125,000 and you sell it before things get worse. While you successfully decreased your tax liability, the tax hit would have been a lot better than saying goodbye to $75,000.

As financial planners we are always looking for ways to reduce the tax bill for our clients but sometimes paying taxes is unavoidable. The more you make, the more you pay in taxes. In most tax years, investors try to use investment losses to help offset some of the realized taxable gains. However, since most assets classes have appreciated in value over the last few years, investors may be challenges to find investment losses in their accounts.

Capital Gains Tax

A quick recap of capital gains tax rates. There are long-term and short-term capital gains. They apply to investments that are held in non-retirement account. IRA’s, 401(k), and 403(b) plans are all tax deferred vehicles so you do not have worry about realizing capital gains tax when you sell a holding within those types of accounts.

In a taxable brokerage account, if you buy an investment and sell it in less than 12 months, if it made money, you realize a short-term capital gain. Short-term gains do not receive preferential tax treatment. You pay tax at the ordinary income tax rates.

However, if you buy an investment and hold it for more than a year before selling it, the gain is taxed at the preferential long-term capital gain rates. At the federal level, there are three flat rates: 0%, 15%, and 20%. At the state level, it varies based on what state you live in. If you live in New York, where we are headquartered, long-term capital gains do not have preferential tax treatment for state income tax purposes. They are taxed as ordinary income. While other states like Alaska, Florida, and Texas assess no taxes at the state level on capital gains.

The tax rate that you pay on your long-term capital gains at the federal level depends on your AGI for that particular tax year. Here are the thresholds for 2021:

long term cap gains rates

long term cap gains rates

A special note for investors that fall in the 20% category, in addition to being taxed at the higher rate, there is also a 3.8% Medicare surtax that is tacked onto the 20% rate. So the top long-term capital gains rate for high income earners is really 23.8%, not 20%.

Don't Forget About The Flat Rate

Investors forget that long-term capital gains are taxed for the most part at a flat rate. If your AGI is $200,000 and you are considering selling an investment that would cause you to incur a $100,000 long-term capital gain, it may not matter from a tax standpoint whether you sell it all this year or if you split the gain between two different tax years. You are still taxed at that flat 15% federal tax rate on the full amount of the gain regardless of when you sell it.There are of course exceptions to this rule. Here is a list of some of the exceptions that you need to aware of:

  • Your AGI limit for the year

  • The impact of the long-term capital gain on your AGI

  • College financial aid

  • Social security taxation

  • Health insurance through the exchange

First exception is the one-time income event that pushes your income dramatically higher for the year. This could be a big bonus, a good year for the company that you own, or you sell an investment property. In these cases you have to mindful of the federal capital gains tax thresholds. If it’s toward the end of the year and you are thinking about selling an investment that has a good size unrealized gain built up into it, it may be prudent to sell enough to keep yourself out of the top long-term capital gains bracket and then sell the rest in January when you enter the new tax year. That move could save you 8.8% in taxes on the realized gains. The 23.8% to tax rate minus the 15% median rate. If you are at the beginning or in the middle of a tax year trying to make this decision, the decision is more difficult. You will have to weigh the risk of the investment losing value before you flip into a new tax year versus paying a slightly higher tax rate on the gain.

To piggyback on the first exception, you have to remember that long term capital gains increase your AGI. If you make $300,000 and you realize a $200,000 long term capital gain on an investment, it’s going to bump you up into the highest federal long term capital gains tax rate.

College financial aid can be a big exception. If you have a child in college or a child that will be going to college within the next two years, and you expect to receive some type of financial aid based on income, be very careful about when you realize capital gains in your investment portfolio. The parent’s investment income can count against a student’s financial aid package. Also, FASFA looks back two years for purposes of determining your financial aid package so conducing this tax versus risk analysis requires some advanced planning.

For those receiving social security benefit, capital gains can impact how much of your social security benefit is subject to taxation.

For individuals that receive their health insurance through a state exchange platform (Obamacare) and qualify for income subsidies, the capital gains income could decrease the amount of the subsidy that you are receive for that year. Be careful.

Don't Make The This Mistake

Bottom line, nothing is ever simple. I wish I could say that in all instances you should completely ignore the tax ramifications and make the right investment decision. In the real world, it’s about determining the balance between the two. It’s about doing the math to better under the tax hit versus the downside risk of continuing to hold a security to avoid paying taxes.

While the current economic expansion may still have further to go, we are probably closer to the end than we are the beginning of the current economic expansion. When the expansion ends, investors are going to be tempted to hold onto certain investments within their portfolio longer than they should because they don’t want to take the tax hit. Don’t make this mistake. If you have a stock holding within your portfolio and it drops significantly in value, you may not have the time horizon needed to wait for that investment to bounce back. Or you may have the opportunity to preserve principal during the next market downturn and buy back that same investment at lower level.

In general, it’s good time for investors to revisit their investment portfolios from a risk standpoint. You may be faced with some difficult investment decisions within the next few years. Remember, selling an investment that has lost money is ten times easier than selling one of your “big winners”. Do the math, don’t get emotionally attached to any particular investment, and be prepared to make investment changes to your investment portfolios as we enter the later stages of this economic cycle.

Michael Ruger

About Michael.........

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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Moving Expenses Are No Longer Deductible

If you were planning on moving this year to take a new position with a new company or even a new position within your current employer, the moving process just got a little more expensive. Not only is it expensive, but it can put you under an intense amount of stress as there will be lots of things that you need to have in place before packing up and

If you were planning on moving this year to take a new position with a new company or even a new position within your current employer, the moving process just got a little more expensive. Not only is it expensive, but it can put you under an intense amount of stress as there will be lots of things that you need to have in place before packing up and moving. Even things like how you are going to transport your car over to your new home, can take up a lot of your time, and on top of that, you have to think about how much it's going to cost. Prior to the tax law changes that took effect January 1, 2018, companies would often offer new employees a "relocation package" or "moving expense reimbursements" to help subsidize the cost of making the move. From a tax standpoint, it was great benefit because those reimbursements were not taxable to the employee. Unfortunately that tax benefit has disappeared in 2018 as a result of tax reform.

Taxable To The Employee

Starting in 2018, moving expense reimbursements paid to employee will now represent taxable income. Due to the change in the tax treatment, employees may need to negotiate a higher expense reimbursement rate knowing that any amount paid to them from the company will represent taxable income.

For example, let’s say you plan to move from New York to California and you estimate that your moving expense will be around $5,000. In 2017, your new employer would have had to pay you $5,000 to fully reimburse you for the moving expense. In 2018, assuming you are in the 35% tax bracket, that same employer would need to provide you with $6,750 to fully reimburse you for your moving expenses because you are going to have to pay income tax on the reimbursement amount.

Increased Expense To The Employer

For companies that attract new talent from all over the United States, this will be an added expense for them in 2018. Many companies limit full moving expense reimbursement to executives. Coincidentally, employees at the executive level are usually that highest paid. Higher pay equals higher tax brackets. If you total up the company's moving expense reimbursements paid to key employees in 2017 and then add another 40% to that number to compensate your employees for the tax hit, it could be a good size number.

Eliminated From Miscellaneous Deductions

As an employee, if your employer did not reimburse you for your moving expenses and you had to move at least 50 miles to obtain that position, prior to 2018, you were allowed to deduct those expenses when you filed your taxes and you were not required to itemize to capture the deduction. However, this expense will no longer be deductible even for employees that are not reimbursed by their employer for the move starting in 2018.

Michael Ruger

About Michael.........

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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Are The New Trade Tariffs Good Or Bad For The Stock Market?

US businesses often imports their manufactured goods from China. This is because the cost of manufacturing products is much lower than in other places so they want to take advantage of this. The government makes money off this relationship by imposing tariffs on certain products coming into the US. President Trump announced on March 8, 2018

US businesses often imports their manufactured goods from China. This is because the cost of manufacturing products is much lower than in other places so they want to take advantage of this. The government makes money off this relationship by imposing tariffs on certain products coming into the US. President Trump announced on March 8, 2018 that the United States will begin imposing a tariff on steel and aluminum imported into the U.S. from countries other than Mexico and Canada.  The tariff on steel will be 25% and 10% on aluminum. There are two main questions that we will seek to answer in this article:

  • What happened the last time the U.S. implemented trade tariffs?

  • How will the stock market react to the new trade barriers?

What Is A Tariff?

First, let's do a quick recap on what a tariff is. A tariff is a special tax on goods that come into the United States. Tariffs are imposed to make select foreign goods more expensive in an effort to encourage the U.S. consumer to buy more American made goods. For example, if the government puts a 25% tariff on cars that are imported into the U.S., that BMW that was manufactured in Germany and shipped over to the U.S. and sold to you for $70,000 will now cost $87,500 for that same exact car due to the 25% tariff. As a consumer this may cause you not to buy that BMW and instead buy a Corvette that was manufactured in the U.S. and carries a lower price tag.

What Does History Tell Us?

history of tariffs in the US

history of tariffs in the US

It’s very clear from this chart that the U.S. has not imposed meaningful tariffs since the early 1900’s. Conclusion, it’s going to be very difficult to predict how these tariffs are going to impact the U.S. economy and global trade. Even though we have some historical references, the world is very different today compared to 1930. The “global economy” did not even really exist back then.

As you can see in the chart, the average import trade tariff in 1930 was about 20%. Since 1975, the average trade tariff on imports has been below 5%. More recently, between 2000 and 2016 the average tariff on imports was below 2%.

History Will Not Be A Useful Guide

As an investment manager, when a big financial event takes place, we start to scour through historical data to determine what happened in the past when a similar event took place. While we have had tariffs implemented in the past, many of those tariffs were implemented for reasons other than the ones that are driving the U.S. trade policy today.

Prior to 1914, tariffs were used primarily to generate revenue for the U.S. government. In 1850, tariffs represented 91% of the government’s total revenue mainly because there was no income tax back then. By 1900 that percentage had dropped to 41%. As many of us are well aware, over time, the main source of revenue for the government has shifted to the receipt of income and payroll taxes with tariff revenue only representing about 2% of the government’s total receipts.

During the Industrial Revolution (1760 – 1840), tariffs were used to protect the new U.S. industries that were in their infancy. Without tariffs it would have been very difficult for these new industries that were just starting in the U.S. colonies to compete with the price of goods coming from Europe. Tariffs were used to boost the domestic demand for steel, wool, and other goods that were being produced in the U.S. colonies. These trade policies helped the new industries get off the ground, expand the workforce, and led to a prosperous century of economic growth.

Today, tariffs are being used for a different reason. To protect our mature industries from the risk of extinction as a result of foreign competition. Since the 1950’s, the global economy has evolved and the trade policies of the U.S. have been largely in support of free trade. While this sounds like a positive approach, free trade policies have taken their toll on a number of industries here in the U.S. such as steel, automobiles, and electronics. Foreign countries like China have access to cheap labor and they are able to produce select goods and services at a much lower cost than here in the United States.

While this a good thing for the U.S. consumer because you can purchase a big screen TV made in China for a lot less than that same TV made in the U.S., there are negative side effects. First and foremost are the U.S. jobs that are lost when a company decides that it can produce the same product for a lot less over in China. We have seen this trend play out over the past 20 or 30 years. Tariffs can help protect some of those U.S. jobs because it makes products purchased from foreign manufactures more expensive and it increases the demand for U.S. goods. The downside to that is the consumer may be asked to pay more for those same products since at the end of the day it costs more to produce those products in the U.S.

In the announcement of the steel and aluminum tariffs yesterday, the White House also acknowledged the national security risk of certain industries facing extinction in the United States. Below is a chart of production of steel in the U.S. from 1970 – 2016.

As you can see in the chart, our economy has grown dramatically over this time period but we are producing half the amount of steel in the U.S. that we were 47 years ago. If everything stayed the same, this reduction in the U.S. production of steel would probably continue. It begs the question, what happens 50 years from now if there is a global conflict and we are unable to build tanks, jets, and ships because we import 100% of our steel from China and they decide to shut off the supply? There are definitely certain industries that we will always need to protect here in the U.S. even though they may be “cheaper” to buy somewhere else.

There is also monopoly risk. Once we have to import 100% of a particular good or service, those producers have 100% pricing power over us. While I would be less concerned over TV’s and electronics, I would be more concerned over items like cars, foods, building materials, and other items that many of us consider a necessity to our everyday lives.

Free or Fair?

While we have had “free” trade policies over the past few decades, have they been “fair”? Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla, recently highlighted that “China isn’t playing fair in the car trade with the U.S.” He goes on to point out that China puts a 25% import tariff on American cars sold to China but the U.S. only has a 2.5% import tariff on cars that are manufactured in China and sold in the U.S.

In response to this, Trump mentioned in his speech that the U.S. will be pursuing “reciprocal” or “mirror” trade policies. Meaning, if a country puts a 25% tariff on U.S. goods imported into their country, the U.S. would put a 25% tariff on those same goods that are imported from their country into the U.S.

Trade Wars

While the reciprocal trade policies seem fair on the surface and it also makes sense to protect industries that are vital to our national security, the greatest risk of transitioning from a “free trade” policy to “protectionism” policy is trade wars. We just put a 25% tariff on all of the steel that is imported from China, how is China going to respond to that? Remember, the U.S. is part of a global economy and trade is important. How important? When you look at the gross revenue of all of the companies that make up the S&P 500 Index, over 50% of their revenue now comes from outside the U.S. If all of a sudden, foreign countries start putting tariffs on U.S. goods sold aboard, that could have a big negative impact on the corporate earnings of our big multinational corporations in the United States. In addition, when you listen to the quarterly earnings calls from companies like Apple, Nike, Pepsi, and Ford, the future growth of those companies are relying heavily on their ability to sell their products to the growing consumer base in the emerging market. Countries like China, India, Russia, and Brazil.

I go back to my initial point, that history will not be a great guide for us here. We have not used tariffs in a very long period of time and the reason why we are using tariffs now is different than it was in the past. Plus the world has changed. There is no clear way to know at this point if these new tariffs are going to help or hurt the U.S. economy over the next year because a lot depends on how these foreign countries respond to the United States moving away from the long standing era of free trade.

Canada & Mexico Exempt

The White House announced yesterday that Canada and Mexico would be exempt from the new tariffs. Why? This is my guess and it's only guess, the U.S. is currently in the process of negotiating the NAFTA terms with Canada and Mexico. NAFTA stands for the North American Free Trade Agreement. Trump has made it clear that if we cannot obtain favorable trade terms, the U.S. will exit the NAFTA agreement. The U.S. may use the recent tariff announcement as a negotiation tool in the talks with Canada and Mexico on NAFTA. "Listen, we gave you an exemption but if you don't give us favorable trade terms, all deals are off."

Coin Flip

While tax reform seems like a clear win for U.S. corporations, only history will tell us whether or not these new trade policies will help or harm the U.S. economy. If we are able to protect more U.S. jobs, protect industries vital to the growth and protection of the U.S., and negotiate better trade deals with our trading partners, we may look back and realize this was the right move at the right time.On the flip side of the coin, if trade wars break out that could lead to a decrease in the demand for U.S. goods around the globe that may cause the U.S. to lose more jobs than it is trying to protect. As a result, that could put downward pressure on corporate earnings and in turn send stock prices lower in the U.S. Only time will tell.

Michael Ruger

About Michael.........

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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No Deduction For Entertainment Expenses In 2019. Ouch!!

There is a little known change that was included in tax reform that will potentially have a big impact on business owners. The new tax laws that went into effect on January 1, 2018 placed stricter limits on the ability to deduct expenses associated with entertainment and business meals. Many of the entertainment expenses that businesses

There is a little known change that was included in tax reform that will potentially have a big impact on business owners.  The new tax laws that went into effect on January 1, 2018 placed stricter limits on the ability to deduct expenses associated with entertainment and business meals.  Many of the entertainment expenses that businesses were able to deduct in 2017 will no longer we allowed in 2018 and beyond.  A big ouch for business owners that spend a lot of money entertaining clients and prospects. 

A Quick Breakdown Of The Changes

new tax rules for entertainment expenses

new tax rules for entertainment expenses

No Deduction in 2019

Prior to 2018, if the business spent money to take a client out to a baseball game, meet a client for 18 holes of golf,  or to host a client event,  the business would be able to take a deduction equal to 50% of the total cost associated with the entertainment expense.  Starting in 2018, you get ZERO.  There is no deduction for those expenses. 

The new law specifically states that there is no deduction for: 

  • Any activity generally considered to be entertainment, amusement, or recreation

  • Membership dues to any club organization for recreation or social purpose

  • A facility, or portion thereof, used in connection with the above items

This will inevitably cause business owners to ask their accountant: “If I spend the same amount on entertainment expenses in 2018 as I did in 2017, how much are the new tax rules going to cost me tax wise?” 

Impact On Sales Professionals

If you are in sales and big part of your job is entertaining prospects in hopes of winning their business, if your company can no longer deduct those expenses, are you going to find out at some point this year that the company is going to dramatic limit the resources available to entertain clients?  If they end up limiting these resources, how are you supposed to hit your sales numbers and how does that change the landscape of how you solicit clients? 

Impact On The Entertainment Industry

This has to be bad news for golf courses, casinos, theaters, and sports arena.  As the business owner, if you were paying $15,000 per year for your membership to the local country club and you justified spending that amount because you knew that you could take a tax deduction for $7,500, now what?  Now that you can’t deduct any of it, you may decide to cancel your membership or seek out a cheaper alternative. 

Impact On Charitable Organizations

How do most charities raise money?  Events.   As you may have noticed in the chart, in 2017 tickets to a qualified charitable event were 100% deductible.  In 2018, it goes from 100% deductible to Zero!!  It’s bad enough that the regular entertainment expenses went from 50% to zero but going from 100% to zero hurts so much more.  Also charitable events usually have high price tags because they have to cover the cost of event and raise money for the charity.  In 2018, it will be interesting to see how charitable organizations get over this hurdle. It may have to disclose right on the registration form for the event that the ticket cost is $500 but $200 of that amount is the cost of the event (non-deductible) and $300 is the charitable contribution. 

Exceptions To The New Rules

There are some unique exceptions to the new rules.  Many business owners will not find any help within these exceptions but here they are: 

  • Entertainment, amusement, and recreation expenses you treat as compensation to your employees in their wages (In other words, the cost ends up in your employee’s W2)

  • Expenses for recreation, social, or similar activities, including facilities, primarily for employees, and it can’t be highly compensation employees (“HCE”). In 2018 an HCE employee is an employee that makes more than $120,000 or is a 5%+ owners of the company.

  • Expenses for entertainment goods, services, and facilities that you sell to customers

What’s The Deal With Meals?

Prior to 2018, employers could deduct 50% of expenses for business-related meals while traveling.  Also meals provided to an employee for the convenience of the employer on the employer’s business premises were 100% deductible by the employer and tax-free to the recipient employee.

Starting in 2018, meal expenses incurred while traveling on business remain 50% deductible to the business. However, meals provided via an on-premises cafeteria or otherwise on the employers premise for the convenience of the employer will now be limited to a 50% deduction.

There is also a large debate going on between tax professional as to which meals or drinks may fall into the “entertainment” category and will lose their deduction entirely.

Impact On Business

This is just one of the many “small changes” that was made to the new tax laws that will have a big impact on many businesses.   It may very well change the way that businesses spend money to attract new clients.  This in turn will most likely lead to unintended negative consequences for organizations that operate in the entertainment, catering, and charitable sectors of the U.S. economy.

 

Disclosure: For education purposes only. Please seek tax advice from your tax professional

Michael Ruger

About Michael……...

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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The Government Is Shut Down. Should You Be Worried?

The senate was not able to pass a temporary spending bill in the late hours of the night so as of Saturday, January 20th the government is officially shut down. But what does that mean? How will it impact you? What will be the impact on the stock market?

The senate was not able to pass a temporary spending bill in the late hours of the night so as of Saturday, January 20th the government is officially shut down. But what does that mean? How will it impact you? What will be the impact on the stock market? 

Don’t Let The Media Scare You

The media loves big disruptive events.   Why?  The news is a "for profit" business.  The more viewers they have, the more profits they make.  What makes you watch more news?  Fear.  If the weather forecasts is 80 degrees and sunny, you just go on with your day.   Instead, if the weather is predicting “The Largest Winter Blizzard Of The Century”, my guess is you will be glued to the weather channel most of the day trying to figure out when the storm will hit, how many feet of snow is expected to fall, and are schools closing, etc. 

You will undoubtedly wake up this morning to headlines about “The Government Shutdown” and all of the horrible things that could happen as a result.  In the short term a government shutdown or a “funding gap” is not incredibly disruptive.  Many government agencies have residual funding to keep operations going for a period of time. Only portions of the government really “shut down”.  The “essential” government services continue to function such as national security and law enforcement.  The risk lies in the duration of the government shutdown.  If Congress does not pass either a temporary extension or reach a final agreement within a reasonable period of time, some of these government agencies will run out of residual funding and will be forced to halt operations. 

The news will target the “what if’s” of the current government shutdown.  What if the government stays shut down and social security checks stop? What if the U.S. cannot fund defense spending and we are left defenseless?   All of these scenarios would require a very prolonged government shutdown which is unlikely to happen. 

How Often Does This Happen?

number of days the government is shut down

number of days the government is shut down

When I woke up this morning, my first questions was “how often do government shutdowns happen?”  Is this an anomaly that I should be worried about or is it a frequent occurrence?  The last government shutdown took place on September 30, 2013 and the government stayed shut down for 16 days.   Prior to the 2013 shutdown, you have to go back to December 15, 1995.  The duration of the 1995 shutdown was 21 days.  Making the current government shutdown only the third shutdown between December 15, 1995 – January 20, 2018.  Not an anomaly but also not a frequent event. 

But let’s look further back.  How many times did the U.S. government experience a shutdown between 1976 – 2018?   In the past 42 years, the U.S. government has experienced a shutdown 18 times.  On average the government shutdowns lasted for about 7 days.  This makes me less worried about the current government shutdown given the number of shutdowns that we have overcome in the past. 

This Shutdown Could Be Longer

political polarization history

political polarization history

The only thing that worries me a little is the potential duration of the current government shutdown.  I would not consider two data points to be a new “trend” but it is hard to ignore that the last two government shutdowns that occurred in 1995 and 2013 were much longer than the 7 day historical average. However, this could be the start of a new trend given how polarized Congress has become.  It’s a clear trend that over the past 40 years fewer members of the Senate and House are willing to cross party lines during a vote.  See the chart below:  Back in 1973, only 73% of the members of Congress voted with the majority of their political party.   It  would seem rational to assume that during that time period members of Congress were more willing to step across the aisle for the greater good of the American people.  Now, approximately 95% of the members of both the House and Senate vote with their own camp.  This creates deadlock situations that take longer to resolve as the “blame game” takes center stage. 

Impact On The Stock Market

In most cases, injecting uncertainty in our economy is never good for the stock market. However, given the fact that U.S. corporations are still riding the high of tax reform, if the government shutdown is resolved within the next two weeks it may have little or no impact on the markets. 

If it were not for the recent passage of tax reform, my guess is this government shutdown may have been completely avoided.   Not choosing a side here but just acknowledging the Democratic Party was delivered a blow with passage of tax reform in December.  Since the spending bill requires 60 votes to pass in the Senate, it will require support from the Democrats.  This situation provides the Democratic party with a golden opportunity to negotiate terms to help make up for some the lost ground from the passage of the Republican led tax bill.   This challenging political environment could lengthen the duration of the government shutdown.  However, it’s also important to remember that neither party benefits from a government shutdown, especially in a midterm election year. 

Over the next two weeks, I would recommend that investors take all the media hype with a grain of salt.  However, if a permanent or temporary spending bill is not passed within the next two weeks, it could result in increased volatility and downward pressure on the stock market as government agencies run out of cash reserves and begin to put workers on furlough.     At this point, we are really in a “wait and see” environment. 

Michael Ruger

About Michael……...

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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More Taxpayers Will Qualify For The Child Tax Credit

There is great news for parents in the middle to upper income tax brackets in 2018. The new tax law dramatically increased the income phaseout threshold for claiming the child tax credit. In 2017, parents were eligible for a $1,000 tax credit for each child under the age of 17 as long as their adjusted gross income (“AGI”) was below $75,000 for single

There is great news for parents in the middle to upper income tax brackets in 2018.  The new tax law dramatically increased the income phaseout threshold for claiming the child tax credit.  In 2017, parents were eligible for a $1,000 tax credit for each child under the age of 17 as long as their adjusted gross income (“AGI”) was below $75,000 for single filers and $110,000 for married couples filing a joint return.  If your AGI was above those amounts, the $1,000 credit was reduced by $50 for every $1,000 of income above those thresholds.    In other words, the child tax credit completely phased out for a single filer with an AGI greater than $95,000 and for a married couple with an AGI greater than $130,000. 

Note:  If you are not sure what the amount of your AGI is, it’s the bottom line on the first page of your tax return (Form 1040). 

New Phaseout Thresholds In 2018+

Starting in 2018, the new phaseout thresholds for the Child Tax Credit begin at the following AGI levels:

Single Filer: $200,000

Married Filing Joint: $400,000

If your AGI falls below these thresholds, you are eligible for the full Child Tax Credit.  For taxpayers with an AGI amount that exceeds these thresholds, the phaseout calculation is the same as 2017.  The credit is reduced by $50 for every $1,000 in income over the AGI threshold.

Wait......It Gets Better

Not only will more families qualify for the child tax credit in 2018 but the amount of the credit was doubled.  The new tax law increased the credit from $1,000 to $2,000 for each child under the age of 17.

In 2017, a married couple, with three children, with an AGI of $200,000, would have received nothing for the child tax credit.  In 2018, that same family will receive a $6,000 tax credit. That’s huge!! Remember,  “tax credits” are more valuable than “tax deductions”.  Tax credits reduce your tax liability dollar for dollar whereas tax deductions just reduce the amount of your income subject to taxation.

Tax Reform Giveth & Taketh Away

While the change to the tax credit is good news for most families with children, the elimination of personal exemptions starting in 2018 is not. 

In 2017, taxpayers were able to take a tax deduction equal to $4,050 for each dependent (including themselves) in addition to the standard deduction.  For example, a married couple with 3 children and $200,000 in income, would have been eligible received the following tax deductions:

Standard Deduction:      $12,700

Husband:                             $4,050

Wife:                                     $4,050

Child 1:                                 $4,050

Child 2:                                 $4,050

Child 3:                                 $4,050

Total Deductions              $32,950

Child Tax Credit:               $0

This may lead you to the following question:  “Does the $6,000 child tax credit that this family is now eligible to receive in 2018 make up for the loss of $20,250 ($4,050 x 5) in personal exemptions?”

By itself? No. But you have to also take into consideration that the standard deduction is doubling in 2018.  For that same family, in 2018, they will have the following deductions and tax credits:

Standard Deduction:      $24,000

Personal Exemptions:    $0

Total Deductions:             $24,000

Child Tax Credit:               $6,000

Even though $24,000 plus $6,000 is not greater than $32,950, remember that credits are worth more than tax deductions.   In 2017, a married couple, with $200,000 in income, put the top portion of their income subject to the 28% tax bracket.  Thus,  $32,950 in tax deductions equaled a $9,226 reduction in their tax bill ($32,950 x 28%).

In 2018, due to the changes in the tax brackets, instead of their top tax bracket being 28%, it’s now 24%.  The $24,000 standard deduction reduces their tax bill by $5,760 ($24,000 x 24%) but now they also have a $6,000 tax credit with reduces their remaining tax bill dollar for dollar, resulting in a total tax savings of $11,760.  Taxes saved over last year:  $2,534.   Not a bad deal.

For many families, the new tax brackets combined with the doubling of the standard deduction and the doubling of the child tax credit with higher phaseout thresholds, should offset the loss of the personal exemptions in 2018.

This information is for educational purposes only.  Please consult your accountant for personal tax advice.  

Michael Ruger

About Michael……...

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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How Much Will Your Paycheck Increase In 2018?

U.S taxpayers have a big reason to celebrate this week. By the end of February, you should see your paycheck increase. The government released the new payroll withholding tables this week which will lower the amount of taxes withheld from your paycheck and increase your take home pay. Naturally the next question is "How much will my paycheck go

U.S taxpayers have a big reason to celebrate this week. By the end of February, you should see your paycheck increase. The government released the new payroll withholding tables this week which will lower the amount of taxes withheld from your paycheck and increase your take home pay.  Naturally the next question is "How much will my paycheck go up?" Out of curiously, I spent my Saturday morning comparing the 2017 tax tables to the new 2018 tax tables to answer that question. Yes, this is what nerds do on their weekends.

The Calculation

Like most financial calculations, it's long and boring. I will provide you with the cliff notes version. The government provides your company with tax withholding tables that they enter into the payroll system. It tells your employer how much to withhold in fed taxes from each pay check. The three main variables in the calculation are:

  • Payroll frequency (weekly, bi-weekly, etc)

  • The number of withholding allowances that you claim

  • The amount of your pay

Single Filers or Head of Household

If you are a single or head of household tax filer, I ran the following calculations based on a bi-weekly payroll schedule and an employee claiming one withholding allowance. The table below illustrates how much your annual take home pay may increase under the new tax withholding tables at various salary levels.

withholding tables - single filer

withholding tables - single filer

Based on this analysis, it looks like a single filer’s paycheck will increase between 2% – 3% as soon as the new withholding tables are entered into the payroll system. If you want to know how much your bi-weekly pay will increase, just take the annual numbers listed above and divide them by 26 pay periods. If the payroll frequency at your company is something other than bi-weekly or you claim more than one withholding allowance, your percentage increase in take home pay will deviate from the table listed above.

Married Couples Filing Joint

For employees that are married and file a joint tax return, below is the calculations based on a bi-weekly payroll schedule and two withholding allowances. The table below illustrates how much your annual take home pay may increase under the new tax withholding tables at various salary levels.

payroll tax withholding table - married

payroll tax withholding table - married

Even though I added an additional withholding allowance in the calculation for the married employee, I was surprised that the “range” of the percentage increase in the take home pay for a married employee was noticeably wider than a single tax filer. As you will see in the table above, the increase in take home pay for an employee in this category range from 1.5% – 3.1%.

Another interesting observation, in the single filer table, the percentage increase in take home pay actually diminished as the employee’s annual compensation increased. In contrast, for the married employee, the percentage increase in annual take home pay gradually increased as the employee’s annual salary increased. Conclusion…..get married in 2018? Nothing says love like new withholding tables.

Michael Ruger

About Michael.........

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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