How Much Money Do I Need To Save To Retire?

This is by far the most popular question that we come across as financial planners. You may have heard some of the "rules of thumb" like “80% of your current take-home pay” or “1 million dollars”. In reality, the answer varies greatly on an individual by individual basis. This article will outline the procedures that we follow as financial planners to help

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This is by far the most popular question that we come across as financial planners. You may have heard some of the "rules of thumb" like “80% of your current take-home pay” or “1 million dollars”.  In reality, the answer varies greatly on an individual by individual basis.  This article will outline the procedures that we follow as financial planners to help individuals answer this very important question.

Step 1:  Estimate Your Annual Expenses In Retirement

The first step is to get a ballpark idea of what your annual expenses might look like in retirement.    The best place to start is to list your current monthly and annual expenses. Then create a separate column labeled “expenses in retirement”.  Whether you are 2 years, 10 years, or 20 years away from retirement the idea is to pretend as if you were retiring tomorrow and determining what your annual expenses might look like.  Some of your expenses in retirement will be lower, others may be higher, but most people find that a lot of their current expenses will carry over at the same level into the retirement years. This is because most people have become accustom to a certain standards of living and they intend to maintain that standard of living in retirement. Here are a few important questions that you should ask yourself when forecasting your retirement expenses:

  • How much should I budget for health insurance?

  • Will I have a mortgage or debt when I retire?

  • Do I plan to move when I retire?

  • Since I will not be working, should I budget additional expenses for vacations and hobbies?

  • Will I need to keep my life insurance policies after I retire?

Step 2:  Adjust Your Retirement Expenses For Inflation

Now that you have a ballpark number of your annual expenses in retirement, you will need to adjust those expenses for inflation.  Inflation is just a fancy word for “the price of everything that we buy today will gradually go up in price over time”.  If the price of a gallon of milk today is $2 then most likely 20 years from now that same gallon of milk will cost $3.51.  A 75% increase!!   Historically inflation has grown at a rate of about 3% per year.  There are periods of time when the rate of inflation grows faster or slower but on average it grows at 3% per year.

Another way to look at inflation is $20,000 in today’s dollars will not buy the same amount of goods and services 10 years from now because inflation erodes the purchasing power of your $20,000.  If I did my annual expense planner and it tells me that I need $50,000 per year in retirement to meet all of my estimated expenses, let’s look at what adjusting that $50,000 for inflation does over different periods of time assuming a 3% rate of inflation:

Today’s Dollars 5 Years From Now 10 Years From Now 20 Years From Now

$50,000         $56,275                  $65,238                    $87,675

In the above example, if I am retiring in 10 years, and my estimated annual expenses in retirement will be $50,000 in today’s dollars, by the time I retire 10 years from now my annual expenses will increase to $65,238 per year just to stay in the same place that I am in today.  Also, inflation does not stop when you retire, it continues into the retirement years. If I am 50 today and plan to live until 90, I have to apply this inflation adjustment for 40 years.  It’s clear to see how inflation can have a significant impact on the amount that you may need to withdrawal for your account to meet you estimated expenses at a future date.

Step 3:  Gather The Information On Your Current Assets

Once you know your expenses, you now need to gather all of the information on your retirement accounts and pension plans.  You should collect the most recent statement for all of your investment accounts (401K, 403B, IRA’s, brokerage accounts, stocks, etc.), pension statements (if applicable), obtain your most recent social security statement, and gather information on the other sources of income and/or assets that may be available when you retire. Such as:

  • Sale of a business

  • Downsizing the primary residence

  • Rental income

  • Part-time employment

Step 4:  Project The Growth Of Your Retirement Assets

There are three main categories to consider when calculating the growth rate of your retirement assets:

  • Annual contributions

  • Withdrawals

  • Investment rate of return

For annual contributions, it’s determining which accounts you plan on making deposits too each year and how much?  For most individuals, their employer sponsored retirement plan is the main source of new contributions to their retirement nest egg.   If your employer makes regular employer contributions to your retirement plan, you should factor those in as well.  For example, if I am contributing 8% of my pay into the plan and my employer is providing me with a 4% matching contributions, I would reasonably assume that I’m adding 12% of my pay to my 401(k) plan each year.

The most popular question that we get in this category is “how much should I be contributing each year to my retirement account with my employer?”  We advise employees that they should have a goal of contributing 10% of their pay each year to their retirement accounts.   This is an aggregate total between your personal contributions and the employer contributions.   Even if you cannot reach that level right now, 10%+ is the target.

Let’s move onto the next category…….withdrawals.  Pre-retirement withdrawals from retirement accounts have become much more common in recent years due largely to the rising cost of college education.  Parents will take loans from their 401K/403B plans or take early withdrawals from IRA accounts to fulfill the need for additional income during the years that their children are in college.  If part of your overall financial plan is to use your retirement accounts to pay for one-time expenses such as college, you will need to factor that into your projections.

The third variable to consider when determining the growth of your assets is the assumed annual rate of return on your investments.  There are many items to consider when determining a reasonable annual rate of return for your accounts.  Some of those considerations include:

  • Time horizon to retirement

  • Allocation of your portfolio (stocks vs bonds)

  • Concentrated holdings (10%+ of your portfolio allocated to a single investment)

  • Accumulation phase versus distribution phase

The answer to the question: “what rate of return should I expect from my retirement accounts?”, can really only be determine on a case by case basis. Using an unreasonable rate of return assumption can create a significant disconnect between your retirement projections versus what is likely to actually occur within your investment accounts.  Be careful with this step.

Step 5:  Factor In Taxes

Don’t forget about the lovely IRS.  All assets are not treated equally from a tax standpoint.  For most individuals, the majority of their retirement savings will be in pre-tax retirement vehicles such as 401(k), 403(b), and Traditional IRA’s.  That means when you take distributions from those accounts, you will realize earned income, and have to pay tax.  For example, if you have $400,000 in your 401K account and you are in the 25% tax bracket, $100,000 of that $400,000 will be lost to taxes as withdrawals are made from the account.

If you have after tax investment accounts, it’s possible that you may owe little to no taxes on withdrawals.  However, if there are unrealized investment gains built up in your after tax investment accounts then you may owe capital gains tax when liquidating positons.

Also note, you may have to pay taxes on a portion of your social security benefit.   The amount of your social security benefit that is taxable varies based on your level of income.

Step 6:  Spend Down Your Assets

In the final step, you should run long term projections to illustrate the spend down of your assets in retirement.  Here are the steps:Example

  • Start with your annual after tax expense number $60,000

  • Subtract social security less taxes: ($20,000)

  • Subtract pension payments less taxes (if applicable): ($10,000)

  • Annual Expenses Net SS and Pensions: $30,000

In the example above, this individual would need an additional $30,000 after-tax to meet their anticipated annual expenses in Year 1 of retirement.  I stress “after-tax” because if all of the retirement assets are in a pre-tax retirement account then they would need to gross up their distributions for taxes to get to the $30,000 after tax.  If it is assumed that $40,000 has to be withdrawn from an IRA each year, the 3% inflation rate is applied to the annual expenses, and the life expectancy of this individual is 20 years from the date that they retire, this individual would need to withdrawal $1,074,814 out of their retirement accounts over the next 20 years to meet their income needs.

Step 7:  Identify Multiple Solutions

There are often times multiple roads to reach a destination and the same is true when planning for retirement. If you find that you assets are falling short of the amount that is needed to sustain your expenses in retirement, you should work with a knowledgeable financial planner to identify alternative solutions.  It may help you to answer questions like:

  • If I decided to work part-time in retirement how much would I have to earn?

  • If I downsize my primary residence in retirement how does this impact the overall picture?

  • If I can’t retire at age 63, what age can I comfortably retire at?

  • What are the pros and cons of taking social security benefits prior to normal retirement age

I also encourage clients to spend time looking at their annual expenses.  If you find that your are cutting it close on income versus expenses in retirement, it's usually easier to cut expenses than it is to create more income in the retirement year. 

Michael Ruger

Michael Ruger

About Michael……...

Hi, I’m Michael Ruger. I’m the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

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Sample Business Plan

The business plan for a startup business provides entrepreneurs with a guide in creating a business plan and items to consider when starting a new business.

Sample Business Plan

The business plan for a startup business provides entrepreneurs with a guide in creating a business plan and items to consider when starting a new business. 

Click on the PDF link in the green box below. 

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Paying Down Debt: What is the Best Strategy?

Living with debt is not easy. It can be a constant burden and easily disrupt day-to-day life. Having debt will also ruin your credit score too. The worse your credit score gets, the less likely you will be accepted for any type of loan. One of the fastest ways to get rid of your debt is to pay your debt off in the correct order.

strategies for paying off debt

strategies for paying off debt

Living with debt is not easy. It can be a constant burden and easily disrupt day-to-day life. Having debt will also ruin your credit score too. The worse your credit score gets, the less likely you will be accepted for any type of loan.  One of the fastest ways to get rid of your debt is to pay your debt off in the correct order.

STEP 1: Create a list of all your current debts

The first step is understanding what you owe. To start, make a master list of all your monthly credit card and loan statements. For each bill, include:

  • The creditor's name

  • The total amount you owe on that bill

  • The minimum required monthly payment

  • The interest rate (also known as APR)

  • The payment due date

STEP 2: List all of your monthly expenses

Add up all your monthly expenses: rent, car, food, utilities, health insurance and the minimum payments on your debts; as well as regular spending on things such as entertainment and clothing. Subtract that figure from your monthly after-tax income. The remaining amount is what you could put toward debt repayment each month-though it may make sense for you to save some.

STEP 3: Call your lenders

Call your lenders and explain your situation. They may be willing to lower your interest rate temporarily or waive late fees. You may also be able to lower your interest rate by transferring some high-interest credit card debt onto a new credit card with a lower rate (though that's not a long-term solution).

STEP 4: Payoff high interest rate or small balances first

You can start with the bill carrying the highest interest, or the one with the smallest balance. Prioritizing the highest-rate debt can save you more money: You pay off your most expensive debt sooner. Paying off the smallest debt can eliminate a bill faster, providing a motivating boost. Whichever you choose, make sure to pay at least the minimum on all your debts.

credit card debt

credit card debt

Pay the monthly minimum on each debt. The exception: your target bill. Put more money toward this one to pay it down faster. Once you pay off that bill, choose another to pay down aggressively. Your monthly debt repayment total shouldn't change, even when you eliminate bills. This way you gain momentum as you go, putting more and more money toward each remaining bill.

STEP 5: Get creative

You can use your annual tax refund or holiday bonus to pay down debt. Look for small ways to save money every day, such as riding your bike to work, or eating in instead of dining out. Another way to make a dent quickly is to sell unused or unnecessary belongings-maybe downgrading your car to a more affordable model with lower monthly payments.

STEP 6: Break the cycle

As you start to escape debt, it can be tempting to reward yourself by splurging on a new smartphone or an expensive dinner but just a few purchases can erase all your hard work. Instead, buy things with cash or your debit card, and think long and hard before taking on any new debt.

Read this book

If you want to live a debt free life, I strongly recommend you read the book "Total Money Makeover" by Dave Ramsey. Ramsey's book really paves the way to get out of debt and stay out of debt.

dave ramsey book

dave ramsey book

Michael Ruger

Michael Ruger

About Michael.........

Hi, I'm Michael Ruger. I'm the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

Read More

How to Create a Business Plan

Starting your own business can be an exciting and rewarding experience. It can offer numerous advantages such as being your own boss, setting your own schedule and making a living doing something you enjoy. But, becoming a successful entrepreneur requires thorough planning, creativity, and hard work. After making the decision to start your

How to Create a Business Plan

How to Create a Business Plan

Starting your own business can be an exciting and rewarding experience. It can offer numerous advantages such as being your own boss, setting your own schedule and making a living doing something you enjoy. But, becoming a successful entrepreneur requires thorough planning, creativity, and hard work. After making the decision to start your own business, you'll need to be realistic about the sort of goals and targets you want to achieve at first. Businesses need targets though, so be sure to set some.  Meeting targets does usually indicate business growth and success, so that's why they are so important. As with any business though, it all starts with a solid plan...

Learn from those before you

Before you make the leap to start your own business, make sure you talk or work for the person that you want to be 5 years from now. Working in the industry before taking your leap of faith will most likely increase your success rate. On the surface some businesses seem simple and straight forward. No business ever is. You have to figure out how the successful companies in that industry currently make money, what are their margins, who are the customers, who are the competitors, and more importantly what are the missteps that you should avoid when building you own business.

You must be able to answer these questions

  1. Why am I starting a business?

  2. What kind of business do I want?

  3. Who is my ideal customer?

  4. What products or services will my business provide?

  5. Am I prepared to spend the time and money needed to get my business started?

  6. What differentiates my business idea and the products or services I will provide from others in the market?

  7. Where will my business be located?

  8. How many employees will I need?

  9. What types of suppliers do I need?

  10. How much money do I need to get started?

  11. Will I need to get a loan?

  12. How soon will it take before my products or services are available?

  13. How long do I have until I start making a profit?

  14. Who is my competition?

  15. How will I price my product compared to my competition?

  16. How will I set up the legal structure of my business?

  17. What taxes do I need to pay?

  18. What kind of insurance do I need?

  19. How will I manage my business?

  20. How will I advertise my business?

Do not spend a dime until you can clearly answer all of these questions otherwise you are leaving your fate to chance.

Write your business plan

Your business plan is your roadmap to success. Business plans typically forecast out 3 to 5 years. Any shorter than that and you will have no idea where you are going with the business. Any longer than that is irrelevant because you may need to make material adjustments to your plan within the first 3 years as obstacles present themselves and as the competitive landscape changes along the way. Here are the key elements that you will want include in your business plan:

Executive Summary: Your executive summary is a snapshot of your business plan as a whole and touches on your company profile and goals. Read these tips about what to include.

Company Description: Your company description provides information on what you do, what differentiates your business from others, and the markets your business serves.

Market Analysis: Before launching your business, it is essential for you to research your business industry, market and competitors.

Organization & Management: Every business is structured differently. Find out the best organization and management structure for your business.

Service or Product Line: What do you sell? How does it benefit your customers? What is the product lifecycle? Get tips on how to tell the story about your product or service.

Marketing & Sales: How do you plan to market your business? What is your sales strategy? Read more about how to include this information in your plan.Funding Request: If you are seeking funding for your business, find out about the necessary information you should include in your plan.

Financial Projections: If you need funding, providing financial projections to back up your request is critical. Find out what information you need to include in your financial projections for your small business.

Your Competitive Advantage: What makes your business unique? Determining this could help you stand out from the crowd and give you advantages over your competitors.

Appendix: An appendix is optional, but a useful place to include information such as resumes, permits and leases. Find additional information you should include in your appendix.

Surround yourself with a great team of advisors.

Most business should have an accountant to ensure your books are correct and that all of the money your business is involved with is accounted for. You will collaborate with an attorney.  You will also need a financial advisor. they will provide you with advice on where you can spend more money, what do you need to keep back or whether you need to reduce the money your spending on marketing for example. These professionals will help you to get your business established and help you with the key decisions that need to be made when you are establishing a business for the first time.

  • How should I incorporate?

  • What business expenses can I deduct?

  • How much cash do I need to sustain my business on a monthly basis?

It is likely that many of these professionals will be working with a client in your industry so they can provide you with real world guidance on the pros and cons of the decisions that you have to make.

Rule #1: Make sure you trust and like who you are working with. Do not just select a firm because they have a big name or because your friend uses them. You are going to be busy building your business so you will rely heavily on your team of professional advisors to make sure from a legal, tax, and financial standpoint that you are maximizing your resources.

Michael Ruger

Michael Ruger

About Michael.........

Hi, I'm Michael Ruger. I'm the managing partner of Greenbush Financial Group and the creator of the nationally recognized Money Smart Board blog . I created the blog because there are a lot of events in life that require important financial decisions. The goal is to help our readers avoid big financial missteps, discover financial solutions that they were not aware of, and to optimize their financial future.

Read More

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